The Simulation Experiment on Verifying the Convergence of Combination Evaluation

2005 5 5 :100026788 (2005) 0520074209, (, 350002) :,,, : ; : C931 : A The Simulation Experiment on Verifying the Convergence of Combination Evaluation CHEN Guo2hong, LI Mei2juan (Management school, Fuzhou University, Fuzhou 350002,China) Abstract : Convergence of combination evaluation is studied through simulation experiment to resolve inconsistency among the evaluation conclusions drawn by different evaluation methods In this experiment, stochastic simulated data and practical examples data are used respectively to simulate the combination evaluation and re2combination evaluation by different kind methods The results indicate that combination evaluation converges very well After several times combination, combination evaluation results can reach consistency rapidly, thus consistent evaluation conclusions are obtained Key words : combination evaluation ; computer simulation experiment ; convergence 1 : ( ),, [1 ] [2 8 ] [9, ] :1),,, 2),,, [10 ] :2004204215 : (70171026) : (1953 - ),,,,, : 1995-2005 Tsinghua Tongfang Optical Disc Co, Ltd All rights reserved

5 75,,, ( ) 2 211 : [11 1 : ] 2 :, 212, 1, : 1) Matlab 2) M ( ) M ( ), [12 ( ) ] 3) M 1995-2005 Tsinghua Tongfang Optical Disc Co, Ltd All rights reserved

76 2005 5 1 [12 ] 4) : M 1, M 1 Α M : a M,, k u k, u k b gu, c u k gu r k r k u k gu, k u k gu, M, M M 1 ; k M M, M 1995-2005 Tsinghua Tongfang Optical Disc Co, Ltd All rights reserved

5 77, M 1 5) m, i s 2 i ( i = 1,2,, m), m = 1 m s 2 i i = 1, 0, 0 ; j = 0 1 m 6) 7) 1, j = j + 1 8) m, i s 2 i ( i = 1,2,, m), = m s 2 i i = 1 9) 0, 0,,,, j jmax, j < jmax, 7) 9) ; j jmax, 3 311 : [13 ] [14 ] [14 ] [15 ] [16 ] 312 [2 : (1) ] : [9 Borda Copeland ; (2) : ] 313 Matlab611 ( ) ( ) [13 ] 314,, 0, 0 ;, 6) 9) 4 411, Matlab611 100, 50 45, 50 60, [11 ],, 20 ( 1 2) 100 ( 3) ( 1) 1995-2005 Tsinghua Tongfang Optical Disc Co, Ltd All rights reserved

78 2005 5 ( 2),, 0, 3 100 ( ) 1 1 4 938889 0 340741 0 2 1 240741 0 014815 0 3 20 72444 0 192593 0 4 62 97593 4 133333 0 074074 0 014815 0 5 22 62667 0 2 0 014815 0 6 2 275 0 155556 0 022222 0 7 1 752778 0 061111 0 011111 0 8 148 5431 5 566667 0 1 0 022222 0 9 47 11167 0 238889 0 011111 0 10 34 13333 0 655556 0 055556 0 022222 0 011111 0 11 12 76296 0 407407 0 014815 0 12 2 165278 0 066667 0 13 4 245833 0 377778 0 022222 0 14 0 759259 0 15 79 5778 2 496296 0 22963 0 02963 0 16 18 3 0 296296 0 17 359 4333 0 281481 0 02963 0 18 164 125 4 144444 0 166667 0 19 47 11167 0 238889 0 011111 0 20 40 375 0 772222 0 038889 0 2 1 4 938889 0 237037 0 014815 0 2 1 240741 0 037037 0 3 20 72444 1 333333 0 133333 0 4 62 97593 2 607407 0 155556 0 014815 0 5 22 62667 0 607407 0 103704 0 6 2 275 0 133333 0 022222 0 7 1 752778 0 127778 0 8 148 5431 4 711111 0 177778 0 022222 0 9 47 11167 2 077778 0 244445 0 033333 0 10 34 13333 1 005556 0 155556 0 011111 0 11 12 76296 0 474074 0 044444 0 014815 0 12 2 165278 0 088889 0 13 4 245833 0 26667 0 01111 0 14 0 759259 0 051852 0 1995-2005 Tsinghua Tongfang Optical Disc Co, Ltd All rights reserved

5 79 15 79 5778 1 785185 0 148148 0 014815 0 16 18 3 0 71111 0 103701 0 014815 0 17 359 4333 0 918519 0 118519 0 014815 0 18 164 125 3 477778 0 122222 0 0111111 0 19 47 11167 2 077778 0 244444 0 033333 0 20 40 375 1 16667 0 155556 0 412 3 [13 ] 1 3 0 2 25 20 :FXP ΠGDP ( %) ; FRP 3 54 30 ΠGDP ( %) ; PPE 4 15 50 5 3 0 ;CCE ;FVP ΠGDP( %) ; GGP GDP ;XCS 1986 1998 7 [13 ] 1 M = {,, DEA, } DEA [13 ] 1 4 4 DEA DEA ( u 1 ) ( u 2 ) ( u 4 ) ( u 5 ) ( u 3 ) 1986 0 0997 6 0 3128 8 0 6752 6 0 13 0 9499 2 10 91667 1987 0 0726 8 0 2949 10 0 656 7 0 2386 12 0 8789 3 4 916667 1988 0 0223 11 0 1048 12 0 13 0 3332 10 0 6043 6 1 666667 1989 0 13 0 13 0 2522 10 0 31 11 0 7999 4 2 25 1990 0 2875 2 0 5119 5 0 6107 8 0 4648 9 1 1 10 1991 0 1715 5 0 475 6 0 7795 4 0 55 8 0 544 7 2 916667 1992 0 0918 7 0 5581 4 1 1 0 6914 6 0 2007 10 7 1993 0 0412 10 0 2691 11 0 2319 11 0 6346 7 0 1195 12 3 583333 1994 0 0205 12 0 3119 9 0 0191 12 0 86 4 0 13 14 25 1995 0 0467 9 0 4506 7 0 508 9 0 9984 2 0 1362 11 10 91667 1996 0 2682 3 0 6912 3 0 7645 5 0 9934 3 0 3704 9 1 1997 1 1 1 1 0 9058 2 1 1 0 6867 5 0 25 1998 0 2444 4 0 7623 2 0 8284 3 0 8488 5 0 4668 8 1 666667 : MATLAB611 DEA SPSS 1995-2005 Tsinghua Tongfang Optical Disc Co, Ltd All rights reserved

80 2005 5 M, = 019, u 5 = (019499,018789,016043,017999,1,01544,012007,011195,0,011362,013704, 016867,014668) T, u 5 5 gu j = i = 1 i 5 u ij, j = 1,2,,13, gu = ( 01271925, 01315525, 01115075, 0114055, 01468725, 01494, 01585325, 012942, 0130287501500925, 01679325,0197645,01670975) T, u 5 gu r 5 = - 0111401, M = 0192, u 1 = (010997,010726,010223,0,012875,011715,010918, 010412,010205,010467,012682,1,012444) T, u 1 ( u 2, u 3, u 4 ), gu = (01329333,013965,01146,011874,01529133,016015,01749833,01378533,01397,01652333,01816367,019686, 01813167) T, u 1 gu r 1 = 01690432 > r 0101 = 01684, u 1 gu,, M 1 = {,, DEA } 4, 51487179 ( Borda Copeland ), 5, 01128205 ;, 5, 0 5 Borda Copeland Borda Copeland 1986 8 7 7 01333333 7 7 7 0 1987 9 9 9 0 9 9 9 0 1988 12 12 12 0 12 12 12 0 1989 13 13 13 0 13 13 13 0 1990 6 6 6 0 6 6 6 0 1991 5 5 5 0 5 5 5 0 1992 4 4 4 0 4 4 4 0 1993 11 10 11 01333333 11 11 11 0 1994 10 11 10 01333333 10 10 10 0 1995 7 8 8 01333333 8 8 8 0 1996 3 2 2 01333333 2 2 2 0 1997 1 1 1 0 1 1 1 0 1998 3 3 3 0 3 3 3 0 01128205 0 ( ) 6 01512821 ;, 6, 0, 1995-2005 Tsinghua Tongfang Optical Disc Co, Ltd All rights reserved

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