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CS 3750 Mache Learg Lectre 9 Latet varable moel Varatoal appromato. Mlo arecht mlo@c.ptt.e 539 Seott Sqare CS 750 Mache Learg Cooperatve vector qatzer Latet varable : meoalty bary var Oberve varable : real vale var meoalty CS 750 Mache Learg

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CS 750 Mache Learg Varatoal appromato Let be a et of all varable th he or mg vale ervato Average both e th KL Log-lelhoo of ata Log-lelhoo of ata CS 750 Mache Learg Varatoal appromato KL Appromato: mamze arameter: } { } { [ ]. } { KL Why? Mamzato of phe p the loer bo o the -lelhoo

Varatoal appromato Comparo: M e tre poteror ' Varatoal M e a rrogate poteror M: ' ' Varatoal M: KL CS 750 Mache Learg Varatoal M Let be a et of all varable th he or mg vale tep: Optmze M tep Optmze th repect to hle eepg fe th repect to hle eepg ote: f the poteror the the varatoal M rece to the taar M CS 750 Mache Learg

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CS 750 Mache Learg Mea el Appromato ctoal for the mea fel: } { } { W W 3 Ame t oe ata pot a correpog : CS 750 Mache Learg Mea el Appromato ctoal. art : δ

CS 750 Mache Learg Mea el Appromato ctoal. art : ctoal. art 3: CS 750 Mache Learg Mea el Appromato ctoal : arameter: W Mea fel parameter: [ ] δ

CS 750 Mache Learg Mea el Appromato ctoal for all ata pot: arameter: W Mea fel parameter: [ ] δ CS 750 Mache Learg Varatoal M: tep Optmzato of the fctoal th repect to : 0 et g e g efe a fe pot eqato Iterate a et fe pot eqato for all ee.. a for all

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Bayea CV Moel y K ε Bayea moel: trbto over parameter K y S Ι CS 750 Mache Learg Moel Specfcato X { } S { } {... } W{ } { } oberve ata latet orce probablty of K eght matr Varace of W reco of oe CS 750 Mache Learg

CS 750 Mache Learg ror β α c Gamma b a Gamma Beta K K K 0 W CS 750 Mache Learg Why the Bayea moel? Very efl for Bayea Moel Selecto Ame e o ot o the mber of orce Bayea core tell ho goo the trctre Beeft of the Bayea core: mboe Occam Razor revet overft M M M M M M Margal lelhoo

CS 750 Mache Learg Varatoal appromato X X X X X Appromato: lelhoo of ata Where a trbto th fferet parameterzato CS 750 Mache Learg Varatoal appromato KL X Appromato: lelhoo of obervable ata Optmzato of phg p the loer bo o the lelhoo of obervable ata o to chooe? he: X KL tace

Varatoal Baye appromato valato of tractable Meafel appromato K Allo aalytcal evalato of CS 750 Mache Learg VB learg Lear Moel th a M le algorthm VB Optmze tmate tate of latet varable * ep VBM Optmze tmate parameter * ep CS 750 Mache Learg

CS 750 Mache Learg VB W W W tr tr y CS 750 Mache Learg VBM β α c Gamma b a Gamma Beta K W K Σ m W

CS 750 Mache Learg VBM cot ag Σ m Σ β β α α CS 750 Mache Learg VBM cot { tr c c b b a a W W W y