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Ζαχαρίας Παπαγεωργίου
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1 3 [ ] 2004,,,,, [ ] [ ],, 2004,,, ( Federally Ad2 m inistered Tribal A reas, FATA ),,,,,, ( Pervaiz Iqbal Cheema) : 2001, 24 FATA,,, FATA, ,,,, 2000 FATA 2006, FATA, 3 C. Christine Fair, U. S. - Pakistan Relations: A ssassination, Instability, and the Future of U. S. Policy, Rand, CT - 297, January 2008, p. 15. Pervaiz Iqbal Cheema, Challenges Facing a Counter - M ilitant Campaign in Pakistanπs FATA, NBR Analysis, Vol. 19, No. 3, Au2 gust, 2008, p. 23. Carlotta Gall and Ismail Khan, Taliban and A llies Tighten Grip in North of Pakistan, N ew York Tim es, December 11, Hope Yen, C IA D irector calls Afghan - Pakistan border re2 gion clear and p resent danger, Associated Press, Mar. 30, 2008, ht2 tp: / /www. cnn. com /2008 /WORLD /asiapcf/03 /30 /cia. director. ap /. Mark Mazzetti and David Rohde, Am id U. S. Policy D is2 putes, Qaeda Grows in Pakistan, N ew York Tim es, June 30, 2008.

Pervaiz Iqbal Cheema, Challenges Facing a Counter - M ilitant Campaign in Pakistanπs FATA, NBR Analysis, Vol. 19, No. 3, Au2 gust, 2008, p. 23.

2 2009 8,,, 2006, , 23 FATA, 21, 9, 2, ,,, ,,,,, ,, FATA, ( Tehrik - i - Taliban Pakistan, TTP) TTP,,,, TTP ,,,, TTP FATA 7, (Rashed Rahman),,,,, ; 2006, 50, , 106 4, 5 27,, 23, 200 ; 6 9,, 18, ; 6 12, ( Sarfraz Naeem i) 6 10 ; gλυ 7 8, 55 (Malik Zardad Khan) ;, 60,, , http: / /www. jobs. cn /newsinfo / / htm. B. Raman, Suicide Terrorism in Pakistan , Interna2 tional Terrorism M onitor, Paper No. 351, January 14, Simone Nella, Pakistanπs Tribal A reas: Achilles Heel or Stra2 tegic Outpost? July 2008, http: / /www. argoriente. it, p. 6. Isambard W ilkinson, Dean Nelson, Lahore attack heralds sp read of Taliban - trained group s to Pakistani heartlands, Telegraph, UK, March 7, Bajoria, Jayshree, Pakistanπs New Generation of Terrorists, Council on Foreign Relations, February 6, Ziauddin Sardar, Pakistan: The Taliban Takeover, N ew S tatesm an, Ap ril 30, 2007, http: / /www. cfr. org/publication /15422 /. A shfaq Yusufzai, Pakistan: Taliban Tightens Its Rule Over Border A reas, Global Inform ation N etwork, New York, March 13, 2007, p. 1. B. Raman, Suicide Terrorism In Pakistan , Interna2 tional Terrorism M onitor, Paper No. 351, January 14, :,, , http: / /news. xinhuanet. com /world / /13 / content_ htm. gλυ Andrew Buncombe, Anti - Taliban cleric killed in Pakistan suicide blast, The Independent, June 12,

/www. jobs. cn /newsinfo /2008-12 - 30 / 2008123012339639. htm. B. Raman, Suicide Terrorism in Pakistan - 2007, Interna2 tional Terrorism M onitor, Paper No. 351, January 14, 2008.

3 ( Guli Shah),, , FATA, FATA 7 FATA, , ;, FATA,,,,,,,, : ,, 2 24,, FATA,, 2001, 26,,,, FATA,,,, FATA, FATA,, FATA,, Anti - Taliban tribal leader shot dead in Pakistan: official, Peshawar, Pakistan, July 8, 2009 ( AFP ), http: / /www. newssafety. org/ index. php? op tion = com_content&view = article&id = 14435: anti - taliban - tribal - leader - shot - dead - in - pakistan - official&catid = 126: pakistan - security&item id = : :,, Najmuddin A. Shaikh, Worsening Ties with Kabul, D awn ( Pakistan), December 13, 2006.,, , http: / /www. china. com. cn /news/ txt/ / 22 / content_ htm. Seth G. Jones, Counterinsurgency in Afghanistan, RAND Counterinsurgency S tudy, Volume 4, June 9, 2008, pp Omar W araich, Pakistanπs Shariπa Pact: Giving in to the Tali2 ban? Tim e, February 17, 2009; Jason Burke, Taliban and Pakistan officials agree permanent ceasefire in Swat valley, Guardian, February 21, :, , http: / / news. xinhuanet. com /world / /24 / content_ htm. Carin Zissis, Pakistanπs Tribal A reas, Council of Foreign Relations, October 26, 2007, http: / /www. cfr. org/publication / /.

op tion = com_content&view = article&id = 14435: anti - taliban - tribal - leader - shot - dead - in - pakistan - official&catid = 126: pakistan - security&item id = 100402.

4 : FATA 17% ( 40% ), 3% ( 32% ) 250,, 66%, 1 FATA,,, -, ( ), 2001, , 6870, ,,,, 1947, 20, FATA FATA,,,,,,,,,, FATA,,,, (Ayesha Siddiqa),,,,,,,, Daniel Markey, Securing Pakistanπs Tribal Belt, CSR, No. 36, August 2008, p. 5. W illiam Dalrymp le, Inside Islamπs terror schools, N ew S tatesm an, March 28, :,, , http: / /world. peop le. com. cn /GB /1030 / htm l. C. Christine Fair et al, Troubles on the Pakistan - Afghani2 stan Border, US IPeace B riefing, US Institute of Peace, December Ziauddin Sardar, Pakistan: The Taliban Takeover, N ew S tatesm an, Ap ril 30,

W illiam Dalrymp le, Inside Islamπs terror schools, N ew S tatesm an, March 28, 2005. :,, 2008 1 31, http: / /world. peop le. com. cn /GB /1030 /6843190.

5 ,, ,, ;, ;,,,,, 20 80,,,, ,,,,, ( ),,,,, 28, 2005, ( ),,,, :,, 5,,, :,, , 4 Am icus, The Challenge of Talibanization and the New Great Game, The Pakistani Spectator, http: / /www. pakspectator. com / the - challenge - of - talibanization - and - the - new - great - game /. Safdar Jafri, Talibanization O r Balkanization? W hat Awaits Pakistan First?, October 14, 2008, http: / /www. countercurrents. org/ Talibanization O r Balkanization W hat Awaits Pakistan First. htm. (Lebanonization), Irm Haleem, Ethnic and Sectarian V iolence and the Propensity To2 wards Praetorianism in Pakistan, Third W orld Quarterly, Vol. 24, No. 3 (June, 2003), p Quoted from Am icus, The Challenge of Talibanization and the New Great Game, The Pakistani Spectator, http: / /www. pakspectator. com / the - challenge - of - talibanization - and - the - new - great - game /. Pakistan says Taliban sp read across huge parts of country, February 15, 2009, http: / /www. inthenews. co. uk / news/ autocodes/ countries/pakistan /pakistan - says - taliban - sp read - across - huge - parts - of - country htm.

, October 14, 2008, http: / /www. countercurrents. org/ Talibanization O r Balkanization W hat Awaits Pakistan First. htm.

6 , 5. 33, 7 15, 42% ,, 9, AK - 47, AK - 47,,,,,,, ,,,,, 9 11,,,,,, , :,,,,,,,,,,,,,, ( 36 ),, http: / /www. un. org/ zh / focus/pakistan /overview. shtm l., 4000, 300, 75% :,, http: / /news. if2 eng. com /world / /0723_16_ shtm l. AK - 47,, , http: / / news. ifeng. com /m il/1 / /0723 _ 339_ shtm l. International Crisis Group, Pakistanπs Tribal A reas: Appea2 sing the M ilitants, Asia Report N o125, December 11, 2006, pp Pankaj M ishra, Obamaπs bulldozer risks turning the Taliban into Pakistanπs Khmer Rouge, The Hindu, June 18, ,,, ;,, : Eric Schm itt, Jane Perlez, Pakistan Objects to U. S. Plan for Af2 ghan W ar, N ew York Tim es, July 21, 2009, http: / /www. nytimes. com /2009 /07 /22 /world /asia /22p stan. htm l? _r = 1. Scott W ilson, Obama Stresses Joint Action Against Taliban Push in South A sia, W ashington Post, May 7,

AK - 47,, 2009 7 23, http: / / news. ifeng. com /m il/1 /200907 /0723 _ 339_1264571. shtm l.

7 ,,?,,,,,, ( 29 ),,,,, G2,,,,,,,,, ( : ) R ichard N. Haass, The Age of Nonpolarity W hat W ill Follow U. S. Dom inance, Foreign Affairs, May/June, 2008, pp ,,,,, 2006,,,, 36,,,,,, ( ) ( ) ( ), ( : ) :, ( ), Marvin G. W einbaum, Afghanistan and its Neighbors, An Ever Dangerous Neighborhood, Special Report 162, United States Insti2 tute of Peace, June 2006, pp

Dom inance, Foreign Affairs, May/June, 2008, pp. 44-56.

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