DEPARTMENT OF ELECTRICAL ENGINEERING, COMPUTER ENGINEERING AND INFORMATICS Το µελλοντικό Ευρωπαϊκό Ενεργειακό σύστηµα: Υλοποίηση των ενεργειακών στόχων για το 2030 Dr. Andreas Poullikkas Chair and Associate Professor Department of Electrical Engineering andreas.poullikkas@cut.ac.cy 0
Contents Future sustainable energy systems Cyprus sustainable energy strategies towards: 2020 2030 2050 Conclusions 1
Future sustainable energy systems 2
Global primary energy Source: e2050, 2006. 3
Night lights in 2000 Source: Το μελλοντικό e2050, Ευρωπαϊκό 2006. Ενεργειακό σύστημα:: Υλοποίηση των 4
Night lights in 2070 Source: e2050, 2006. 5
DEPARTMENT OF ELECTRICAL ENGINEERING, COMPUTER ENGINEERING AND INFORMATICS CYPRUS UNIVERSITY OF TECHNOLOGY! Global warming Source: J.R. Petit et al, Nature, 1999. Το μελλοντικό Ευρωπαϊκό Ενεργειακό σύστημα:: Υλοποίηση των ενεργειακών στόχων για το 2030, Limassol, 10 Feb 2015 today! 6
Global warming Source: U.S. National Climatic Data Center, 2001. 7
Increase of Earth global temperature 1960-2060 Source: NASA, 2010. 8
EU energy objectives greenhouse gas reduction sustainable production and consumption security of supply 9
Future energy systems EU energy system today* (coal, oil, nuclear) (natural gas) * Poullikkas Το μελλοντικό A., Ευρωπαϊκό 2009, Introduction Ενεργειακό σύστημα:: to Power Υλοποίηση Generation των Technologies, ISBN: 978-1-60876-472-3 10
Future energy systems EU energy system in 2020-30* (coal, oil, natural gas) (coal, oil, nuclear, natural gas) * Poullikkas A., 2009, Introduction to Power Generation Technologies, ISBN: 978-1-60876-472-3 11
Future energy systems EU energy system in 2040-50* (coal, nuclear, natural gas) (coal, nuclear, natural gas) * Poullikkas A., 2009, Introduction to Power Generation Technologies, ISBN: 978-1-60876-472-3 12
Future PS Today Tomorrow: CCS, RES, DG and hydrogen storage, smartgrids Plug in vehicles Source: EC, 2007. 13
The Super Smart Grid after 2050 (may allow for 100% RES) 14
Cyprus renewable strategies towards 2020 15
RES Directive 2009/28/EC RES in (a) heating and cooling, (b) electricity and (c) transportation Cyprus 2005: RES for heating and cooling: 2.9% RES for power generation: 0% RES for transportation: 0% Cyprus 2020: binding RES target 13% XHC + XE + XT =13% 16
RES-E strategic plan logistics CERA RES-E Strategic Plan Working Group Updating every 2 years National strategic plan RES-E 2010-2020: June 2010 Optimum scenario 16% power generation from RES-E (in electricity consumption or 5% in primary energy consumption) Suggestions for further investigation of all techo-economic aspects Accelerate the installation of PV systems: Sep 2011 1 st updating: under revision 17
Important suggestions Shifting from FiT mechanism, which is independent of electricity market prices, to a more market based mechanism, such as, the use of Sliding Premium-Price FiT Payments based on hourly (or half hourly) spot market price; part of the RES-E producers payments will be determined on their actual hourly (or half hourly) contribution to the power system with respect to the relevant electricity market spot price Introduction of the net-metering scheme 18
Important suggestions (cont.) Use of competitive auctioning processes for RES-E capacity Examination of the possibility of the introduction of hydro pumped energy systems into the Cyprus power system in order to allow higher RES-E penetrations in the future 19
Cyprus renewable strategies towards 2030 20
Cyprus Energy Strategy Council Appointed by the President of Cyprus in Sep 2014 Scope: To advice the Government of Cyprus on the optimum energy strategies for Cyprus Main sectors under investigation: heating and cooling management of indigenous energy resources (hydrocarbons, renewable energies) transport electricity energy management and conservation 21
European Council Conclusions 23 October 2014 EU leaders agreed on the 2030 climate and energy policy framework: a binding EU target of at least 40% less greenhouse gas emissions by 2030, compared to 1990 a binding target of at least 27% of renewable energy use at EU level an energy efficiency increase of at least 27% the completion of the internal energy market by reaching an electricity interconnection target of 15% increase energy security (natural gas South Corridor) 22
Importance for Cyprus Ιδιαίτερης σηµασίας συµπεράσµατα για τη Κύπρο λαµβάνονται υπόψη οι ιδιαιτερότητες της Κύπρου ως µικρό αποµονωµένο νησιώτικο ενεργειακό σύστηµα συγχρηµατοδότηση των έργων διασύνδεσης (έχοντας υπόψη τη δυσχερή οικονοµική κατάσταση της Κύπρου) υλοποίηση έργων κοινού ενδιαφέροντος στον τοµέα του φυσικού αερίου, όπως: ο διάδροµος Βορρά-Νότου Νότιος διάδροµος µεταφοράς φυσικού αερίου προώθηση ενός νέου κόµβου φυσικού αερίου στη Νότια Ευρώπη Αναγκαία η περαιτέρω µελέτη και αξιοποίηση των συµπερασµάτων για την βέλτιστη υλοποίηση των στόχων 23
Guidelines to Cyprus Presidency Κατευθυντήριες Γραµµές προς το ΠτΔ από ΣΕΣ 12 εισηγήσεις: Εκπόνηση 5 ολοκληρωµένων στρατηγικών µελετών µε χρονικό ορίζοντα πέραν του 2030: Εκποµπές θερµοκηπιακών αερίων Βέλτιστο ενεργειακό µίγµα Ηλεκτρικές διασυνδέσεις Ενεργειακή απόδοση Αλυσίδα µεταφοράς φυσικού αερίου Καλυτέρευση 4 συµπερασµάτων για όφελος Κύπρου Καταρτισµός 3 καταλόγων για εν δυνάµει έργα 24
Cyprus renewable strategies towards 2050* (use of pumped energy storage systems) * Poullikkas A., 2013, Optimization analysis for pumped energy storage systems in small isolated power systems, Journal of Power Technologies 25
Annual CO 2 emissions (preliminary results) CO 2 emissions (t) 5,000,000 4,800,000 4,600,000 4,400,000 4,200,000 4,000,000 3,800,000 3,600,000 3,400,000 3,200,000 3,000,000 2,800,000 2,600,000 2,400,000 2,200,000 BAU BAU, PHES 130MW BAU, PHES 200MW BAU, PHES 330MW BAU, PHES 530MW Increased RES-E Increased RES-E, PHES 130MW Increased RES-E, PHES 200MW Increased RES-E, PHES 330MW Increased RES-E, PHES 530MW 2,000,000 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 Year 26
50% RES incremental cost by 2041 (preliminary results) Increased RES-E, PHES 530MW 0.43 Increased RES-E, PHES 330MW 0.17 Increased RES-E, PHES 200MW 0.04 Scenario Increased RES-E, PHES 130MW Increased RES-E BAU, PHES 530MW 0.02-0.09 0.33 BAU, PHES 330MW 0.22 BAU, PHES 200MW 0.13 BAU, PHES 130MW 0.10-0.10 0.00 0.10 0.20 0.30 0.40 0.50 Difference from BAU ( c/kwh) 27
Summary 28
Summary Cyprus Energy Strategy Council: - Scope: to advice the Government of Cyprus on the optimum energy strategies for Cyprus - Main sectors: heating and cooling, management of indigenous energy resources (hydrocarbons, renewable energies), transport, electricity, energy management and conservation - Horizon: 2050 - Development of energy strategies: in all energy sectors - Targeting: towards 2050 with intermediate targets 29