- / / / / ( // : // : -. -.. -.. -. -... "" "". - ". Fbazzazan@alzahra.ac.ir Banouei@atu.ac.ir Meh.karami@gmail.com....
... 30. 12 :JEL - :.
31 /.. - - - - (. - (. :.. " : ( (.. - :. (.. 1. Space Economy
.... 32. ( - (..( :...... ". " (.( ( : (. 1. Single- egional Input-output Model (SIOM. (cross- hauling 3. Oosterhaven J. & Stelder D 2007.
33 /.. -. -... "" (. :...... :. : Z ( : Z.( 1. Ngo et al. 1986, Shinichi I. and Jiong Wang H. 2003, Francisco 2001, Francisco et al. 2002
... 34 ( : Z.(. : Z : Y. : Y. : E. : Y. : Y. : E. : M. : M :V V.
35 /.- Z Z Y Y E Z Z Y Y E M V M V.- -.. = Z + Z + Y + Y + E : = Z + Z + Y + Y + E ( = Z = Z = Z = Z ( ( ( ( ( : ( ( ( (
... 36. : = + + Y + Y + E ( I = = + + Y + Y + E + ( I = Y ( : Y Y Y = Y + Y + E Y = Y + Y + E = : Y ( Y + ( Y : I 0 Y I Y = = ( 0 I Y I Y : - = BY I Y B = Y = = I Y -. -... : = ( I ( + Y 1 = ( I ( + Y 1 ( ( 1. Intraregional direct input coefficients 2.Inter-regional direct input coefficients
37 / = ( I = ( I = ( I [( I ( I + ( I : Y : + Y + ( I ] + ( I Y Y + ( I Y ( I ( I = ( I Y + ( I Y = { I ( I { I ( I Y Y ( I } ( I Y + ( ( I } ( I Y.. : = { I ( I ( I } ( I Y + ( { I ( I ( I } ( I Y : F = 0 = F. S. M. Y M F = S = = ( I M 0 F ( I S S 1 S M = S = F S 1 M 0 ( I M = 0 M ( I S S Y Y ( : ( M M
... 38 F F S S... M M ( n n. L M S F F M = F S M = L Y F S M F M Y Y :. 2 n 2n L n 2n L. n 2n...... ( 3. 1.Spillover effects 3.Miller (19661969 2.Feedback effects 4.Greytak (19701974
39. / ( 2.. :... F.. L. - - - -. : -...1 1.Miller 1969, p. 42 2. Greytak 1974, p. 170 3.Beyers (19741983 4.Eskelinen (1983 5.Greytak (1970 6.Miller & Blair (1983 7.Oosterhaven (1981 8.iefler & iebout(1970 9.ound (1979 10.Yamada & Ihara (1968 -.. (Miller & Blair 1985 12.ound (2001 13.Column coefficients method 14.Chenery 1953 & Moses 1955 15.ow coefficients method 16.Polenske 1966, 1970, 1980 17.Gravity coefficients method 18.Leontief and Strout 1963
.... 40.(.. : ( (. : Z Z..... (. ( :.. :. Z = Z ˆ Z = Z ˆ ( Ẑ Ẑ Z Z. 1.Closed system. 4.Ngo et. al.1986 ( ( 2.Cross-hauling (.
41 /.. (... - : ( *.(. CPC. ISIC. ISIC....-
... - 42. FLQ. ( δ = 0.4.. δ = 0.9. Z Z. Ẑ Ẑ ( M M.. (. ( Ẑ Ẑ. Z Ẑ Ẑ. Z..- :.. 1.Intraregional coefficients 2.Interregional coefficients
43 /.--. (. :.. (...- ( ( ( 11 131881057 15 123990418 3 7890639 10 120560599 14 119927173 633426 26 306372270 25 212657724 30 93714545 2 27847369 3 21857297 2 5990072 8 87527042 7 61829887 8 25697155 12 134741508 10 84224966 16 50516542 7 83189251 6 54438216 9 28751035 10 118959518 7 61293962 18 57665557 5 56695099 4 37840726 6 18854373 8 91563335 8 65685853 8 25877483 100 1159337047 100 843746221 100 315590826 ( :. ( M
... 44 ( M... (..( / :.( /. :..- 0.195 0.250 0.215 0.231 0.026 0.019 0.010 0.036 0.331 0.406 0.491 0.246 0.116 0.365 0.164 0.317 0.149 0.446 0.138 0.457 0.033 0.179 0.097 0.115 0.155 0.239 0.151 0.243 0.026 0.132 0.098 0.060 0.043 0.176 0.080 0.138 0.069 0.144 0.071 0.143 17% 26% 25% 20%. :.. ( ( / / / /.
45 /...(.(..-- : (.. :....... (.. (... (. (.
...... / /... (. /. /...- 46.. (=+ (( ( (=+ (( ( 1.586 0.195 1.391 1.591 0.272 1.319 1.056 0.024 1.032 1.055 0.010 1.045 1.773 0.163 1.609 1.796 0.443 1.353 1.759 0.205 1.555 1.760 0.314 1.446 1.983 0.262 1.721 1.982 0.361 1.621 1.332 0.063 1.269 1.326 0.165 1.161 1.490 0.130 1.360 1.484 0.168 1.316 1.246 0.038 1.208 1.234 0.140 1.094 1.345 0.075 1.270 1.335 0.152 1.183 1.307 0.082 1.225 1.302 0.112 1.190. :
47 /..........- 0.043 1.347 0.026 1.293 0.005 1.027 0.001 1.044 0.038 1.571 0.041 1.312 0.040 1.514 0.032 1.414 0.065 1.656 0.034 1.587 0.014 1.256 0.015 1.146 0.027 1.333 0.014 1.302 0.009 1.199 0.014 1.080 0.018 1.252 0.013 1.170 0.019 1.206 0.010 1.180. : 1.Greytak 1970&1974 Miller 1966&1969
... 48 -...... (.. (. ( (. (..
49 /.... - -.......... (...
... 50.... (...
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