Solar Europe Initiative ΕΛΕΝΗ ΕΣΠΟΤΟΥ Αναπληρωτής γενική γραµµατέας ιευθύντρια στρατηγικού σχεδιασµού 22/05/2009,, Κρήτης 1
Who is EPIA? EPIA is the world's largest industry association devoted to the solar electricity market. > It is a unique association operating with a clear and efficient structure on the basis of a powerful and coherent methodology & strategy, 100% focused on results. Created in 1985 Over 200 members Represents the whole value chain Secretariat in Brussels - 17 people in 2009 8 Board members elected for 4 years President : Dr. Winfried Hoffmann, Applied Materials 2
EPIA and its members EPIA represents 95% of the European photovoltaic industry, and 85% of the global photovoltaic industry world-wide Silicon feedstock: Wacker, REC, DC Chemical Wafers and Ingots: Crystalox, Scanwafer, Pillar, Podolsky, PV Silicon Cells: Q-Cells, BP Solar, Isofoton, SolarWorld, Sharp Modules: Aleo, Schott Solar, Photowatt, Suntech Power Systems: Tenesol, Naps Systems, Conergy, Phoenix Solar Inverters: KACO, SMA, Sputnik, Sunways, Fronius Cabling: Multi-contact Equipment and services: AMAT, Centrotherm, Oerlikon, Stangl, IB Vogt, M+W Zander, Vesuvius 3
1.PV Status in Greece 4
Greece I Feed-in Tariff Year Month Mainland grid ( /MWh) Autonomous island grids ( /MWh) > 100KWp 100KWp > 100KWp 100KWp 2009 February 400.00 450.00 450.00 500.00 2009 August 400.00 450.00 450.00 500.00 2010 February 400.00 450.00 450.00 500.00 2010 August 392.04 441.05 441.05 490.05 2011 February 372.83 419.43 419.43 466.03 2011 August 351.01 394.88 394.88 438.76 2012 February 333.81 375.53 375.53 417.26 2012 August 314.27 353.56 353.56 392.84 2013 February 298.38 336.23 336.23 373.59 2013 August 281.38 316.55 316.55 351.72 2014 February 268.94 302.56 302.56 336.18 2014 August 260.97 293.59 293.59 326.22 Year n from 2105 onwards SMC= System Marginal Cost 1.3*SMCn-1 1.4*SMCn-1 1.4*SMCn-1 1.5*SMCn-1 FiT is paid over 20 years. FITs will be adjusted annually for inflation but will remain unchanged for the next two years. 5
Greece II 2009 Mainland and islands Tax credits There is no VAT for PV systems. In addition, Small domestic systems are eligible for a 20% tax deduction capped at 700 per system. Beneficial credit terms Interest rate support of 4% for credits of 10,000 350,000, duration until end of 2008 Investment grant Other information The Credit Guarantee Fund of Small and Very Small Enterprises (TEMPME) is offering new loan programs as of autumn 2008. The new TEMPME program covers 100% of the interest rate for 3 years for loans capped at 350,000. Installations of max. 150 kwp on own ground do not require an operating license. 6
2.Market Figures 7
Historical development of the Global annual PV market per Region 8
Global annual PV market Outlook until 2013 9
Regional distribution of Global PV markets 10
Europe: Global PV Market Leader 11
Greece 12
3.SET PLAN for 2020 13
3 PV Deployment Scenarios in Europe Scenario 1) Baseline - 4% penetration: this PV penetration does not require changes to the existing electricity system, it requires full cooperation from the whole industry to achieve price reductions and the definition of a good market strategy Scenario 2) Accelerated Growth - 6% penetration: this PV penetration requires minor changes to the existing electricity system, it requires the industry to optimise their Supply Chain, to cooperate with the Utilities on infrastructure changes and compelling product and service offering Scenario 3) Paradigm Shift - 12% penetration: this PV penetration assumes important changes at market, regulatory and utility level, together with significant technology advancements in the electricity system, that free PV penetration from the risk of producing more electricity than the current system can absorb 14
SET PLAN - 3 PV deployment scenarios in Europe 700 PV deployment scenarios in Europe 1) (GW p ) The Paradigm Shift requires 600 significant changes in the 550 existing electricity system and at 500 Scenario 3 market and regulatory level, together with a strong collaboration 450 Scenario 2 with other players in the energy 400 sector Scenario 1 12% GW p 650 350 300 250 200 150 100 50 0 Asymptote without paradigm shift Indicative 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 6% 4% Possible evolution after Paradigm Shift 15
PV Deployment Scenarios (TWh of electricity produced; GW p installed 1) ) 3 PV Deployment Scenarios in Europe 1 The PV installed capacity by 2020 will range from 130 GW p for the Baseline Scenario to 390 GW p for the Paradigm Shift Scenario ~4% of PV penetration on electricity demand by 2020 ~6% of PV penetration on electricity demand by 2020 ~12% of PV penetration on electricity demand by 2020 1) The underlying geographical deployment results in an average European figure 1,167 operating hours for scenario 1 and 2 and 1,187 for scenario 3 Sources: EPIA, EU DG TREN European Energy and Transport: trends to 2030, update 2007, EU JRC Photovoltaic Geographical Information System, Eurostat Data Portal, A.T. Kearney analysis 16
The PV Industry Vision 17
SEII Implementation Plan The SEII is based on the idea of Creating an Energy Revolution through Accelerated Evolution and moving beyond a businessas-usual scenario. The three major initiatives are: SEII 1: Cost Reduction SEII 2: System integration in the EU electrical System SEII 3: Demonstration and Deployment (including awareness & education) 18
SEII 1. COST REDUCTION OBJECTIVE To reduce the generation cost of PV electricity ( /kwh) by achieving a cost reduction of the technology itself ( /Wp) and by further increasing the lifetime of PV systems. To prepare the industry for multi-gigawatt production and to accelerate the process from labs to commercialised components SUB-INITIATIVES Materials development Active layers deposition Reliability, efficiency and cost From LAB to FAB Concentrated PV (CPV) BUDGET: ~4 billion until 2020 50:50 (private/public) 19
SEII 2. SYSTEM INTEGRATION OBJECTIVES To unlock the potential of the PV industry by developing economical and technical solutions together with the network operators that will allow a large penetration of competitive PV and will eventually make Photovoltaics a mainstream energy source. SUB-INITIATIVE PV System Component Development Advanced Grid Integration of PV Systems Large-Scale PV Systems Integration Analysis System Level Test and Demonstrations Codes, Standards, and Regulatory Implementation BUDGET: ~2b until 2020 50:50 (private/public) 20
SEII 3. DEMONSTRATION & DEPLOYMENT OBJECTIVES To implement and establish the necessary stable support schemes and framework conditions for a large and sustainable deployment of Photovoltaics in Europe. To establish the necessary education and training programmes to cover the huge need of skilled people in the PV sector. To establish the basis for a fruitful cooperation with key stakeholders as utilities, the building sector, architects, the automotive industry and other renewable energy industries. SUB-INITIATIVES Grid-parity Integration of PV in urban environments Sustainability Awareness-raising on the potential of PV Education E-mobility BUDGET ~2b until 2020 50:50 (private/public) for deployment projects 35:65 (private/public) for awareness and education 21
SEII: Impact Responding to European Energy policy objectives and needs: Increase energy security of supply Diversification of European energy sources Increase European energy competitiveness Substantially cut CO2 emissions Develop a robust European PV industry at the forefront of technical innovation, creating sustainable local jobs along the whole value chain 22
Thanks for your attention www.epia.org 23