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Archive of 9Z: SID144', #*12"30 */, #*-. $+*#$%&'() T&- 7&\'A /G3>6)i86) 1/0)-/4) l&"-"(.o2k^&- j"51a9:;v9:;<a9:;u"(3-"t`_2 <hp://www.ceninsur.ir/frmhome_fa-ir.aspx>2010/3/25 "-Hb& 72A9:;w&)A&M5 /EG(z%A5*U?1&"( 9ˆAOA2 /VGAA FA&"(" -Hb 5A9:;uFA1 &-* S 4 Bassiouni, MY & Habashi,MH, 2002, 'Forecasiong compulsory moor insurance claims in Kuwai', Insurance: Mahemaics and Economics, vol. 10, pp. 85-92. 5 Berridge, S 1998, Forecasing claims in moor vehicle insurance, Insiue of Saisics and Operaions Research, Vicoria Universiy of Wellingon. 6. Cummins, D & Griepenrog, G 1985, 'Forecasing auomobile insurance paid claim coss using economeric and ARIMA; models', Inernaional Journal of Forecasing, vol.1, pp.203-15. 7. Doray, D & Louis, H 1996, 'Consrained forecasing of he number of IBNR claims', Journal of Acuarial Pracice,vol 4, pp.287-305. 8. Harvey, AC & Fernandes, C 1989, 'Time series models for insurance claims', Journal of he Insiue of Acuaries [JIA], vol. 116, pp. 513-28. 9. Hyndman, R & Koehler, A 2008, Forecasing wih exponenial smoohing: he sae space approach, Springer Series in Saisics, Springer. 10. Ranala, J & Hieikko, H. 1988, 'An applicaion of ime series mehod o financial guaranee insurance', European Journal of Operaional Research, vol. 87, no.3, pp.398-408. 9 W :