The Yudhoyono Presidency in the Second Phase of the Democratic Transition: Political Sector Reform, Post-Conflict Recovery, and Local Elections

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1 The Yudhoyono Presidency in the Second Phase of the Democratic Transition: Political Sector Reform, Post-Conflict Recovery, and Local Elections HDCC6 Jun* The birth of the Yudhoyono presidency in October was a significant moment in Indonesia s political history. As the first national leader directly elected by popular voting, Yudhoyono has unprecedented political legitimacy and has been expected to implement various programs for democratic consolidation. What is the nature of this presidency and what are the major political challenges for his leadership? This essay attempts to clarify these issues by examining political developments during the last two years. It illustrates how the Yudhoyono administration differs in two respects from the three previous governments led by Habibie, Megawati, and Wahid: first, in the popular mandate given to Yudhoyono as the winner of direct presidential elections; and second, in the power shift in the parliament since which has ended the virtual dominance of Megawati s PDI-P party. Given these characteristics, the political environment of Yudhoyono s administration favors a breakthrough in democratic consolidation, and this essay argues that Yudhoyono s expected role is to transform the status of democracy from the first to the second phase. Several problems that emerged in the first phase of democratic change, such as widening corruption, ineffective civilian control of the military, and the rise of bossism in local politics, were largely byproducts of institutional reforms conducted by previous presidencies in their attempts to eliminate Suharto s authoritarian polity. The historically expected role of a national leader in the age of direct presidential election is to mobilize the political capital generated by his or her popular mandate to remove these byproducts which may derail democracy and to consolidate the political system free from the legacy of the Suharto era. It is still too early to fully evaluate whether Yudhoyono will achieve this historical role, but this essay tries to assess the mid-term progress if any by investigating government performance in three issue-areas, namely political sector reform, post-conflict recovery, and elections of local heads. Despite many good signs of change and breakthrough from the past, a dilemma is increasingly visible between Yudhoyono s popular mandate and the demands of realpolitik compromise, and this may shadow the long-run prospects of second phase agendas. Keywords: Susilo Bambang Yudhoyono, democratization, political reform, elections, local conflicts Faculty of International Relations, Ritsumeikan University, Kitamachi, Toji-in, Kita-ku, Kyoto,, Japan jht ir.ritsumei.ac.jp 12

2 I Susilo Bambang Yudhoyono Sukarno Suharto BJ Habibie Abdurrahman Wahid Megawati Sukarnoputri PDI-P Golkar PDI-P PDI-P +, PDI-P b 13

3 PDI-P Robison and Hadiz Honna ; Hafidz ; Mietzner Aspinall and Fealy ; Okamoto and Rozaki -. ; IMF Second Generation Reform: SGR SGR Pastor and Wise Cottey, Edmunds and Forster 14

4 II II Partai Demokrat / 0 1 Liddle and Mujani Ward a 15

5 2 : 16

6 Reformasi Total Dewi Fortuna Anwar 3 Shiraishi Elson Mietzner 17

7 Nahdlatul Ulama: NU NU Mietzner NU Hafidz Taufik Kiemas PDI-P PDI-P b NU PDI-P Aditjondro Heri Akhmadi PDI-P 18

8 PDI-P PDI-P Timtastikor Akbar Tandjung Roy Janis PDI-P UU No. / Tahun Tentang Komisi Pemberantasan Korupsi UU No. Tahun Tentang Pertahanan Negara UU No. Tahun Tentang Tentara Nasional Indonesia Agus Widjojo The Jakarta Post May 19

9 Lembaga Survei Indonesia Juwono Sudarsono NGO Kemitraan bagi Pembaruan Tata Pemerintah di Indonesia KPK The Jakarta Post, September Kompas November NGO Transparency International Transparency International : 20

10 ; ICW Jusuf Kalla Gerakan Aceh Merdeka: GAM Shulze : Siran Pers Aceh Working Group Kompas, September 21

11 Himpunan Mahasiswa Islam: HMI Abrizal Bakrie Paska Suzetta Andi Mattalata Kompas November The Jakarta Post April UKP R Surya, April 22

12 PDI-P Wiranto Akbar Tandjung III GAM GAM GAM GAM Jawa Pos August 23

13 GAM GAM cf. Aspinall GAM GAM GAM Irwandi Yusuf GAM GAM GAM GAM GAM GAM GAM GAM Hasbi Abdullah GAM GAM GAM GAM GAM Davis GAM GAM International Crisis Group a 24

14 GAM GAM cf. DTE ; World Bank/DSF Otonomi Khusus NAD NGO Aceh Anti-Corruption Movement GAM GAM GAM GAM GAM The Sunday Times April 25

15 GAM IV 26

16 PDI-P PDI-P PDI-P JPPR PDI-P Sinar Harapan June 27

17 PDI-P PDI-P PDI-P 28

18 NU Abdillah Ali Umri Tempo Interaktif March 29

19 KPUD Sondakh PDI-P Sinyo Sarundayang Dede PDS cf. Aragon Media Indonesia April Kompas June Kompas May 30

20 PKS Nurmahmudi Ismail PDI-P PDI-P Ratna Ani Lestari NU Jusuf Noeris NU Kompas November Kompas June b Gatra March 31

21 PDI-P AA Gede Agung PDI-P PDI-P Zulkifli Nurdin Gamawan Fauzi Rustriningsih Sjachriel Darham Asmawi Agani Kompas April ; April 32

22 KPUD Pamwaslu 33

23 Gatra March : Dinasti Kerabat Politik Lokal. The Jakarta Post September : KPK: Regional Councillors Implicated in Corruption Cases. April : SBY Squandered First Half of Term. May : Let s Strengthen Corruption Fight in Second Half. Jawa Pos August : Lagi, Try Cs Tuntut Kembali ke UUD. Kompas April : Di Bawah Bayang-bayang Bangkitnya Aristokrasi. April : Di Bawah Bayang-bayang Sejarah Panjang Konflik. May : Dikhawatirkan Poso Makin Rawan Jelang Pilkada. June a: Partai Golkar Gagal dalam Pilkada di Sulut. June b: Gabungan Partai Kecil Menangkan Pilkada Banyuwangi. June c: Gabungan Partai Kecil Menangkan Pilkada Banyuwangi. September : Wakil Presiden dan Try Sutrisno Bertemu. November : Video Teroris Diputar di Rumah Wapres. November : Dwifungsi Politisi dan Pengusaha Bisa Merusak. November : Nurmahmudi Diperiksa Soal Kasus Korupsi Hutan di Riau. Media Indonesia April : Pilkada di Kota Binjai: Sentimen Etnis Menentukan. Sinar Harapan June : Menimbang Peluang Calon Wali Kota Semarang. The Sunday Times April : Massive Fraud Hits Tsunami Aid. Surya April : SBY Mereaksi Kritik. Tempo Interaktif March : Pencalonan Kembali Walikota Medan Digoyang Mahasiswa. a : b 34

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25 tion in Indonesia. Paper prepared for the conference Indonesia s Reformasi: Reflections on the Habibie Era, jointly organized by the Johns Hopkins University School for Advanced International Studies SAIS the Habibie Center and USINDO in Washington D. C., March. Okamoto, Masaaki; and Rozaki, Abdur, eds.. Kelompok Kekerasan dan Bos Lokal di Era Reformasi. Yogyakarta: Institute for Research and Empowerment. Pastor, Manuel; and Wise, Carol.. The Politics of Second-Generation Reform. Journal of Democracy :. Robison, Richard; and Hadiz, Vedi, eds.. Reorganising Power in Indonesia: The Politics of Oligarchy in an Age of Markets. London: RoutledgeCruzon. Shiraishi, Takashi.. Rewiring the Indonesian State. In Making Indonesia: Essays on Modern Indonesia in Honor of George McT. Kahin, edited by Daniel S. Lev. and Ruth McVey, pp.. Ithaca, NY: Southeast Asia Program, Cornell University. Shulze, Krisen.. Between Conflict and Peace: Tsunami Aid and Reconstruction in Aceh. MFA Analysis. Stockholm: Minister of Foreign Affairs, Sweden. Siran Pers Aceh Working Group.. Anggaran Pertahanan Keamanan: BRR Mengancam Reformasi Militer dan Merusak Sistem Pertahanan, August. Transparency International.. Global Corruption Barometer Berlin: TI, December. Ward, Ken.. Dealing with a Democratic Indonesia: The Yudhoyono Years. Sydney: Lowly Institute. World Bank/Decentralization Support Facility DSF. Aceh Conflict Monitoring Update: September. World Bank/DSF. 36

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